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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Burton Albion Win
24%
4.23
27%
3.77
50%
2.01
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
13.6%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.4%
Draw
0 – 2
9.9%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.92
Plymouth xG
Total xG
2.37
1.46
Burton Albion xG
PlymouthDrawBurton Albion
4.23
24%
Home win
3.77
27%
Draw
2.01
50%
Away win
Goals Markets
69%
Over 1.5
1.45
31%
Under 1.5
3.23
42%
Over 2.5
2.38
58%
Under 2.5
1.72
22%
Over 3.5
4.55
78%
Under 3.5
1.28
9%
Over 4.5
11.11
91%
Under 4.5
1.10
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
46%
BTTS Yes
2.17
54%
BTTS No
1.85
Clean Sheet
23%
4.30
40%
2.50
Win to Nil
5%
18.20
20%
5.01
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.3 | 13.6 | 9.9 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 0.5 |
| 1 | 8.5 | 12.4 | 9.1 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 3.9 | 5.7 | 4.1 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | – | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.915
λ Away (xG)
1.459
Total xG
2.374
League avg home goals
1.354
League avg away goals
1.120
Plymouth attack strength
0.659
Plymouth defence strength
1.411
Burton Albion attack strength
0.924
Burton Albion defence strength
1.024
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
24 / 69