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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Wed 1 Jan 2025

15:00

Venue

Sixfields Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Northampton Win

34%

Northampton

2.92

33%

Draw

3.06

33%

Stevenage

3.02

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

15.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

14.5%

Home win

0 – 1

14.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.95

Northampton xG

Total xG

1.88

0.93

Stevenage xG

34%
33%
33%
NorthamptonDrawStevenage

2.92

34%

Home win

3.06

33%

Draw

3.02

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

56%

Over 1.5

1.79

44%

Under 1.5

2.27

29%

Over 2.5

3.45

71%

Under 2.5

1.41

12%

Over 3.5

8.33

88%

Under 3.5

1.14

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

38%

BTTS Yes

2.66

62%

BTTS No

1.60

Clean Sheet

39%

Northampton

2.54

39%

Stevenage

2.59

Win to Nil

13%

Northampton

7.41

13%

Stevenage

7.84

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.2 14.1 6.6 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 14.5 13.5 6.3 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 6.9 6.4 3.0 0.9 0.2
3 2.2 2.0 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.953
λ Away (xG) 0.931
Total xG 1.884
League avg home goals 1.290
League avg away goals 1.162
Northampton attack strength 0.853
Northampton defence strength 1.225
Stevenage attack strength 0.654
Stevenage defence strength 0.866
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 67