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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sat 21 Dec 2024

15:00

Venue

Sixfields Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Northampton Win

41%

Northampton

2.42

31%

Draw

3.21

28%

Charlton

3.64

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.5%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.9%

Draw

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.12

Northampton xG

Total xG

1.97

0.85

Charlton xG

41%
31%
28%
NorthamptonDrawCharlton

2.42

41%

Home win

3.21

31%

Draw

3.64

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

59%

Over 1.5

1.69

41%

Under 1.5

2.44

32%

Over 2.5

3.12

68%

Under 2.5

1.47

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.57

61%

BTTS No

1.64

Clean Sheet

43%

Northampton

2.35

33%

Charlton

3.06

Win to Nil

18%

Northampton

5.69

9%

Charlton

11.12

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.9 11.9 5.1 1.4 0.3 0.1
1 15.5 13.3 5.7 1.6 0.3 0.1
2 8.7 7.4 3.2 0.9 0.2
3 3.2 2.8 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.118
λ Away (xG) 0.855
Total xG 1.973
League avg home goals 1.296
League avg away goals 1.131
Northampton attack strength 0.922
Northampton defence strength 0.942
Charlton attack strength 0.802
Charlton defence strength 0.935
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 65