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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Northampton Win
44%
2.27
31%
3.25
25%
3.97
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
16.6%
Home win
Most likely
0 – 0
14.5%
Draw
1 – 1
13.1%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.15
Northampton xG
Total xG
1.93
0.79
Cardiff xG
NorthamptonDrawCardiff
2.27
44%
Home win
3.25
31%
Draw
3.97
25%
Away win
Goals Markets
58%
Over 1.5
1.72
42%
Under 1.5
2.38
31%
Over 2.5
3.23
69%
Under 2.5
1.45
13%
Over 3.5
7.69
87%
Under 3.5
1.15
5%
Over 4.5
20.00
95%
Under 4.5
1.05
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
37%
BTTS Yes
2.69
63%
BTTS No
1.59
Clean Sheet
45%
2.20
32%
3.14
Win to Nil
20%
5.00
8%
12.47
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14.5 | 11.4 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 16.6 | 13.1 | 5.1 | 1.4 | 0.3 | – |
| 2 | 9.5 | 7.5 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 3.6 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.145
λ Away (xG)
0.788
Total xG
1.933
League avg home goals
1.340
League avg away goals
1.037
Northampton attack strength
0.890
Northampton defence strength
0.910
Cardiff attack strength
0.835
Cardiff defence strength
0.960
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
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