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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Fri 7 Feb 2025

19:45

Venue

One Call Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Mansfield Town Win

41%

Mansfield Town

2.44

30%

Draw

3.38

29%

Northampton

3.39

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

0 – 0

12.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.17

Mansfield Town xG

Total xG

2.12

0.95

Northampton xG

41%
30%
29%
Mansfield TownDrawNorthampton

2.44

41%

Home win

3.38

30%

Draw

3.39

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.37

58%

BTTS No

1.73

Clean Sheet

39%

Mansfield Town

2.58

31%

Northampton

3.23

Win to Nil

16%

Mansfield Town

6.29

9%

Northampton

10.94

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.0 11.4 5.4 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 14.1 13.3 6.3 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 8.3 7.8 3.7 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 3.2 3.0 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.171
λ Away (xG) 0.946
Total xG 2.117
League avg home goals 1.304
League avg away goals 1.185
Mansfield Town attack strength 0.767
Mansfield Town defence strength 1.051
Northampton attack strength 0.760
Northampton defence strength 1.171
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 27 / 75