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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Tue 3 Mar 2026

19:45

Venue

St James Park

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Exeter City Win

41%

Exeter City

2.44

26%

Draw

3.82

33%

Burton Albion

3.04

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.2%

Home win

0 – 1

8.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.39

Exeter City xG

Total xG

2.62

1.22

Burton Albion xG

41%
26%
33%
Exeter CityDrawBurton Albion

2.44

41%

Home win

3.82

26%

Draw

3.04

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.13

Clean Sheet

29%

Exeter City

3.39

25%

Burton Albion

4.03

Win to Nil

12%

Exeter City

8.29

8%

Burton Albion

12.25

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3 8.9 5.5 2.2 0.7 0.2
1 10.2 12.5 7.6 3.1 0.9 0.2
2 7.1 8.7 5.3 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 3.3 4.0 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.2 1.4 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.394
λ Away (xG) 1.222
Total xG 2.616
League avg home goals 1.439
League avg away goals 1.162
Exeter City attack strength 0.843
Exeter City defence strength 1.203
Burton Albion attack strength 0.874
Burton Albion defence strength 1.149
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 79 / 80