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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 45

Kick-off

Sat 26 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

Broadfield Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Northampton Win

30%

Crawley Town

3.33

25%

Draw

4.07

45%

Northampton

2.20

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.3%

Away win

0 – 1

8.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.28

Crawley Town xG

Total xG

2.90

1.62

Northampton xG

30%
25%
45%
Crawley TownDrawNorthampton

3.33

30%

Home win

4.07

25%

Draw

2.20

45%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.72

42%

BTTS No

2.38

Clean Sheet

20%

Crawley Town

5.07

28%

Northampton

3.59

Win to Nil

6%

Crawley Town

16.89

13%

Northampton

7.92

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 8.9 7.2 3.9 1.6 0.5
1 7.0 11.4 9.3 5.0 2.0 0.7
2 4.5 7.3 5.9 3.2 1.3 0.4
3 1.9 3.1 2.5 1.4 0.6 0.2
4 0.6 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.279
λ Away (xG) 1.624
Total xG 2.903
League avg home goals 1.262
League avg away goals 1.182
Crawley Town attack strength 1.006
Crawley Town defence strength 1.332
Northampton attack strength 1.032
Northampton defence strength 1.007
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 90