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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 41

Kick-off

Sat 5 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

The Valley

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Charlton Win

63%

Charlton

1.59

23%

Draw

4.38

14%

Lincoln

6.94

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.5%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

13.0%

Home win

1 – 1

10.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.79

Charlton xG

Total xG

2.51

0.72

Lincoln xG

63%
23%
14%
CharltonDrawLincoln

1.59

63%

Home win

4.38

23%

Draw

6.94

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.33

57%

BTTS No

1.75

Clean Sheet

49%

Charlton

2.06

17%

Lincoln

5.98

Win to Nil

31%

Charlton

3.28

2%

Lincoln

41.48

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.1 5.9 2.1 0.5 0.1
1 14.5 10.5 3.8 0.9 0.2
2 13.0 9.4 3.4 0.8 0.1
3 7.8 5.6 2.0 0.5 0.1
4 3.5 2.5 0.9 0.2
5 1.2 0.9 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.788
λ Away (xG) 0.721
Total xG 2.509
League avg home goals 1.283
League avg away goals 1.112
Charlton attack strength 1.228
Charlton defence strength 0.662
Lincoln attack strength 0.980
Lincoln defence strength 1.135
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 86 / 86