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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sat 22 Feb 2025

15:00

Venue

The Valley

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Charlton Win

52%

Charlton

1.94

29%

Draw

3.43

19%

Exeter City

5.21

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

17.3%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

12.9%

Draw

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.34

Charlton xG

Total xG

2.05

0.71

Exeter City xG

52%
29%
19%
CharltonDrawExeter City

1.94

52%

Home win

3.43

29%

Draw

5.21

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

61%

Over 1.5

1.64

39%

Under 1.5

2.56

34%

Over 2.5

2.94

66%

Under 2.5

1.52

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

38%

BTTS Yes

2.64

62%

BTTS No

1.61

Clean Sheet

49%

Charlton

2.03

26%

Exeter City

3.84

Win to Nil

25%

Charlton

3.92

5%

Exeter City

20.00

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.9 9.1 3.2 0.8 0.1
1 17.3 12.2 4.3 1.0 0.2
2 11.6 8.2 2.9 0.7 0.1
3 5.2 3.7 1.3 0.3 0.1
4 1.8 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.345
λ Away (xG) 0.706
Total xG 2.051
League avg home goals 1.282
League avg away goals 1.190
Charlton attack strength 0.960
Charlton defence strength 0.720
Exeter City attack strength 0.825
Exeter City defence strength 1.093
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 77 / 76