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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 46

Kick-off

Sat 3 May 2025

15:00

Venue

The Valley

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Charlton Win

57%

Charlton

1.74

27%

Draw

3.71

16%

Burton Albion

6.37

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

17.4%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

13.1%

Home win

0 – 0

11.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.50

Charlton xG

Total xG

2.15

0.65

Burton Albion xG

57%
27%
16%
CharltonDrawBurton Albion

1.74

57%

Home win

3.71

27%

Draw

6.37

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

38%

BTTS Yes

2.65

62%

BTTS No

1.61

Clean Sheet

52%

Charlton

1.92

22%

Burton Albion

4.49

Win to Nil

30%

Charlton

3.35

3%

Burton Albion

28.59

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.6 7.6 2.5 0.5 0.1
1 17.4 11.4 3.7 0.8 0.1
2 13.1 8.5 2.8 0.6 0.1
3 6.5 4.3 1.4 0.3
4 2.5 1.6 0.5 0.1
5 0.7 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.501
λ Away (xG) 0.653
Total xG 2.154
League avg home goals 1.296
League avg away goals 1.174
Charlton attack strength 1.217
Charlton defence strength 0.759
Burton Albion attack strength 0.733
Burton Albion defence strength 0.952
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 91 / 91