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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 43

Kick-off

Sat 11 Apr 2026

12:30

Venue

Cardiff City Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cardiff Win

37%

Cardiff

2.67

26%

Draw

3.80

36%

Bolton

2.76

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.7%

Home win

0 – 1

9.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.32

Cardiff xG

Total xG

2.61

1.29

Bolton xG

37%
26%
36%
CardiffDrawBolton

2.67

37%

Home win

3.80

26%

Draw

2.76

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.88

47%

BTTS No

2.13

Clean Sheet

27%

Cardiff

3.64

27%

Bolton

3.74

Win to Nil

10%

Cardiff

9.74

10%

Bolton

10.30

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3 9.5 6.1 2.6 0.9 0.2
1 9.7 12.5 8.1 3.5 1.1 0.3
2 6.4 8.3 5.3 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 2.8 3.6 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.9 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.318
λ Away (xG) 1.293
Total xG 2.611
League avg home goals 1.377
League avg away goals 1.119
Cardiff attack strength 1.086
Cardiff defence strength 1.055
Bolton attack strength 1.095
Bolton defence strength 0.881
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 40 / 87