Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 45

Kick-off

Sat 25 Apr 2026

15:00

Venue

Pirelli Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Burton Albion Win

44%

Burton Albion

2.30

27%

Draw

3.74

30%

Exeter City

3.37

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.6%

Home win

0 – 1

9.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.39

Burton Albion xG

Total xG

2.48

1.10

Exeter City xG

44%
27%
30%
Burton AlbionDrawExeter City

2.30

44%

Home win

3.74

27%

Draw

3.37

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.00

50%

BTTS No

2.00

Clean Sheet

33%

Burton Albion

2.99

25%

Exeter City

4.00

Win to Nil

15%

Burton Albion

6.87

7%

Exeter City

13.49

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.3 9.2 5.0 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 11.6 12.7 7.0 2.5 0.7 0.2
2 8.0 8.8 4.8 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 3.7 4.1 2.2 0.8 0.2
4 1.3 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.387
λ Away (xG) 1.096
Total xG 2.483
League avg home goals 1.362
League avg away goals 1.165
Burton Albion attack strength 0.909
Burton Albion defence strength 0.980
Exeter City attack strength 0.959
Exeter City defence strength 1.120
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 90 / 90