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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 43

Kick-off

Sat 11 Apr 2026

15:00

Venue

Pirelli Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Burton Albion Win

51%

Burton Albion

1.95

24%

Draw

4.11

24%

AFC Wimbledon

4.10

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.8%

Home win

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.66

Burton Albion xG

Total xG

2.73

1.07

AFC Wimbledon xG

51%
24%
24%
Burton AlbionDrawAFC Wimbledon

1.95

51%

Home win

4.11

24%

Draw

4.10

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.88

47%

BTTS No

2.14

Clean Sheet

34%

Burton Albion

2.91

19%

AFC Wimbledon

5.28

Win to Nil

18%

Burton Albion

5.68

5%

AFC Wimbledon

21.64

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 7.0 3.7 1.3 0.4 0.1
1 10.8 11.6 6.2 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 9.0 9.6 5.1 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 5.0 5.3 2.9 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 2.1 2.2 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.663
λ Away (xG) 1.069
Total xG 2.732
League avg home goals 1.380
League avg away goals 1.117
Burton Albion attack strength 0.933
Burton Albion defence strength 1.073
AFC Wimbledon attack strength 0.891
AFC Wimbledon defence strength 1.292
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 88 / 41