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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 40

Kick-off

Tue 21 Apr 2026

19:45

Venue

Valley Parade

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Plymouth Win

27%

Bradford

3.71

28%

Draw

3.56

45%

Plymouth

2.23

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.8%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

0 – 0

10.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.94

Bradford xG

Total xG

2.25

1.31

Plymouth xG

27%
28%
45%
BradfordDrawPlymouth

3.71

27%

Home win

3.56

28%

Draw

2.23

45%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.24

55%

BTTS No

1.80

Clean Sheet

27%

Bradford

3.70

39%

Plymouth

2.57

Win to Nil

7%

Bradford

13.72

17%

Plymouth

5.72

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.5 13.8 9.0 3.9 1.3 0.3
1 9.9 13.0 8.5 3.7 1.2 0.3
2 4.7 6.1 4.0 1.7 0.6 0.1
3 1.5 1.9 1.3 0.5 0.2
4 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.944
λ Away (xG) 1.307
Total xG 2.251
League avg home goals 1.380
League avg away goals 1.171
Bradford attack strength 0.810
Bradford defence strength 0.785
Plymouth attack strength 1.420
Plymouth defence strength 0.845
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 43 / 43