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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Tue 21 Jan 2025

19:45

Venue

Toughsheet Community Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bolton Win

41%

Bolton

2.43

24%

Draw

4.13

35%

Charlton

2.89

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.6%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.8%

Home win

1 – 2

8.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.65

Bolton xG

Total xG

3.15

1.50

Charlton xG

41%
24%
35%
BoltonDrawCharlton

2.43

41%

Home win

4.13

24%

Draw

2.89

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.58

37%

BTTS No

2.71

Clean Sheet

22%

Bolton

4.48

19%

Charlton

5.21

Win to Nil

9%

Bolton

10.89

7%

Charlton

15.04

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.3 6.4 4.8 2.4 0.9 0.3
1 7.1 10.6 8.0 4.0 1.5 0.4
2 5.8 8.8 6.6 3.3 1.2 0.4
3 3.2 4.8 3.6 1.8 0.7 0.2
4 1.3 2.0 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.651
λ Away (xG) 1.500
Total xG 3.151
League avg home goals 1.260
League avg away goals 1.170
Bolton attack strength 1.207
Bolton defence strength 1.154
Charlton attack strength 1.111
Charlton defence strength 1.085
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 71 / 70