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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Semi-finals

Kick-off

Sat 9 May 2026

20:00

Venue

Toughsheet Community Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bolton Win

56%

Bolton

1.78

21%

Draw

4.86

23%

Bradford

4.29

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.8%

Draw

2 – 0

7.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.15

Bolton xG

Total xG

3.48

1.33

Bradford xG

56%
21%
23%
BoltonDrawBradford

1.78

56%

Home win

4.86

21%

Draw

4.29

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

68%

Over 2.5

1.47

32%

Under 2.5

3.12

46%

Over 3.5

2.17

54%

Under 3.5

1.85

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.54

35%

BTTS No

2.86

Clean Sheet

26%

Bolton

3.80

12%

Bradford

8.58

Win to Nil

15%

Bolton

6.77

3%

Bradford

36.83

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.1 4.1 2.7 1.2 0.4 0.1
1 6.6 8.8 5.9 2.6 0.9 0.2
2 7.1 9.5 6.3 2.8 0.9 0.2
3 5.1 6.8 4.5 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 2.7 3.6 2.4 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 1.2 1.6 1.0 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.150
λ Away (xG) 1.334
Total xG 3.484
League avg home goals 1.362
League avg away goals 1.238
Bolton attack strength 1.358
Bolton defence strength 1.185
Bradford attack strength 0.910
Bradford defence strength 1.162
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 92 / 46