Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Tue 11 Feb 2025

19:45

Venue

St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Birmingham Win

59%

Birmingham

1.69

25%

Draw

4.08

16%

Cambridge United

6.13

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.1%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.5%

Home win

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.66

Birmingham xG

Total xG

2.40

0.74

Cambridge United xG

59%
25%
16%
BirminghamDrawCambridge United

1.69

59%

Home win

4.08

25%

Draw

6.13

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.35

57%

BTTS No

1.74

Clean Sheet

48%

Birmingham

2.10

19%

Cambridge United

5.25

Win to Nil

28%

Birmingham

3.55

3%

Cambridge United

32.16

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.1 6.7 2.5 0.6 0.1
1 15.1 11.2 4.1 1.0 0.2
2 12.5 9.2 3.4 0.8 0.2
3 6.9 5.1 1.9 0.5 0.1
4 2.9 2.1 0.8 0.2
5 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.658
λ Away (xG) 0.741
Total xG 2.399
League avg home goals 1.299
League avg away goals 1.186
Birmingham attack strength 1.024
Birmingham defence strength 0.736
Cambridge United attack strength 0.849
Cambridge United defence strength 1.246
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 27 / 75