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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Tue 19 Aug 2025

19:45

Venue

The Cherry Red Records Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AFC Wimbledon Win

49%

AFC Wimbledon

2.05

31%

Draw

3.23

20%

Cardiff

4.95

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.6%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

12.6%

Draw

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.32

AFC Wimbledon xG

Total xG

2.07

0.75

Cardiff xG

49%
31%
20%
AFC WimbledonDrawCardiff

2.05

49%

Home win

3.23

31%

Draw

4.95

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

61%

Over 1.5

1.64

39%

Under 1.5

2.56

34%

Over 2.5

2.94

66%

Under 2.5

1.52

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.50

60%

BTTS No

1.67

Clean Sheet

47%

AFC Wimbledon

2.13

27%

Cardiff

3.73

Win to Nil

23%

AFC Wimbledon

4.35

5%

Cardiff

18.48

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.6 9.5 3.6 0.9 0.2
1 16.6 12.5 4.7 1.2 0.2
2 10.9 8.2 3.1 0.8 0.1
3 4.8 3.6 1.4 0.3 0.1
4 1.6 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.317
λ Away (xG) 0.754
Total xG 2.071
League avg home goals 1.389
League avg away goals 1.087
AFC Wimbledon attack strength 0.966
AFC Wimbledon defence strength 0.975
Cardiff attack strength 0.711
Cardiff defence strength 0.982
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 3 / 3