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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Derby Win
26%
3.87
23%
4.42
52%
1.94
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.3%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 2
9.6%
Away win
0 – 1
8.2%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.26
Wrexham xG
Total xG
3.13
1.86
Derby xG
WrexhamDrawDerby
3.87
26%
Home win
4.42
23%
Draw
1.94
52%
Away win
Goals Markets
82%
Over 1.5
1.22
18%
Under 1.5
5.56
60%
Over 2.5
1.67
40%
Under 2.5
2.50
38%
Over 3.5
2.63
62%
Under 3.5
1.61
21%
Over 4.5
4.76
79%
Under 4.5
1.27
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
61%
BTTS Yes
1.65
39%
BTTS No
2.54
Clean Sheet
15%
6.46
28%
3.53
Win to Nil
4%
24.97
15%
6.86
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.4 | 8.2 | 7.6 | 4.7 | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 | 5.5 | 10.3 | 9.6 | 6.0 | 2.8 | 1.0 |
| 2 | 3.5 | 6.5 | 6.1 | 3.8 | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| 3 | 1.5 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.262
λ Away (xG)
1.865
Total xG
3.127
League avg home goals
1.229
League avg away goals
1.193
Wrexham attack strength
0.958
Wrexham defence strength
1.490
Derby attack strength
1.049
Derby defence strength
1.072
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
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