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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 46

Kick-off

Sat 2 May 2026

12:30

Venue

Swansea.com Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Swansea Win

45%

Swansea

2.23

30%

Draw

3.30

25%

Charlton

4.04

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

0 – 0

9.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.41

Swansea xG

Total xG

2.40

0.99

Charlton xG

45%
30%
25%
SwanseaDrawCharlton

2.23

45%

Home win

3.30

30%

Draw

4.04

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.03

51%

BTTS No

1.97

Clean Sheet

37%

Swansea

2.70

24%

Charlton

4.10

Win to Nil

17%

Swansea

6.00

6%

Charlton

16.58

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.0 9.0 4.4 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 12.8 12.7 6.3 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 9.0 8.9 4.4 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 4.2 4.2 2.1 0.7 0.2
4 1.5 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.412
λ Away (xG) 0.992
Total xG 2.404
League avg home goals 1.311
League avg away goals 1.204
Swansea attack strength 1.038
Swansea defence strength 1.009
Charlton attack strength 0.817
Charlton defence strength 1.037
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 91 / 45