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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sat 17 Jan 2026

15:00

Venue

Bet365 Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Stoke City Win

51%

Stoke City

1.95

27%

Draw

3.70

22%

QPR

4.62

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

2 – 0

10.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.50

Stoke City xG

Total xG

2.39

0.89

QPR xG

51%
27%
22%
Stoke CityDrawQPR

1.95

51%

Home win

3.70

27%

Draw

4.62

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.17

54%

BTTS No

1.86

Clean Sheet

41%

Stoke City

2.42

22%

QPR

4.50

Win to Nil

21%

Stoke City

4.72

5%

QPR

20.80

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.2 8.1 3.6 1.1 0.2
1 13.8 12.2 5.4 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.4 9.2 4.1 1.2 0.3
3 5.2 4.6 2.0 0.6 0.1
4 2.0 1.7 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.505
λ Away (xG) 0.885
Total xG 2.390
League avg home goals 1.396
League avg away goals 1.140
Stoke City attack strength 0.987
Stoke City defence strength 0.861
QPR attack strength 0.901
QPR defence strength 1.093
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 72