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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Tue 10 Mar 2026

19:45

Venue

Fratton Park

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Portsmouth Win

47%

Portsmouth

2.14

32%

Draw

3.14

21%

Swansea

4.68

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

0 – 0

12.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.30

Portsmouth xG

Total xG

2.09

0.80

Swansea xG

47%
32%
21%
PortsmouthDrawSwansea

2.14

47%

Home win

3.14

32%

Draw

4.68

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.42

59%

BTTS No

1.71

Clean Sheet

45%

Portsmouth

2.21

27%

Swansea

3.65

Win to Nil

21%

Portsmouth

4.73

6%

Swansea

17.10

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.4 9.8 3.9 1.0 0.2
1 16.0 12.7 5.1 1.3 0.3
2 10.4 8.2 3.3 0.9 0.2
3 4.5 3.6 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 1.5 1.2 0.5 0.1
5 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.296
λ Away (xG) 0.795
Total xG 2.091
League avg home goals 1.291
League avg away goals 1.217
Portsmouth attack strength 0.870
Portsmouth defence strength 0.856
Swansea attack strength 0.763
Swansea defence strength 1.153
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 81 / 82