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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Portsmouth Win
60%
1.68
24%
4.15
16%
6.12
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
15.1%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
12.5%
Home win
1 – 1
11.1%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.66
Portsmouth xG
Total xG
2.40
0.74
Derby xG
PortsmouthDrawDerby
1.68
60%
Home win
4.15
24%
Draw
6.12
16%
Away win
Goals Markets
69%
Over 1.5
1.45
31%
Under 1.5
3.23
43%
Over 2.5
2.33
57%
Under 2.5
1.75
22%
Over 3.5
4.55
78%
Under 3.5
1.28
10%
Over 4.5
10.00
90%
Under 4.5
1.11
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
42%
BTTS Yes
2.36
58%
BTTS No
1.73
Clean Sheet
48%
2.09
19%
5.28
Win to Nil
28%
3.51
3%
32.26
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.1 | 6.7 | 2.5 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 15.1 | 11.1 | 4.1 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 12.5 | 9.2 | 3.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 6.9 | 5.1 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 2.9 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 5 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.663
λ Away (xG)
0.738
Total xG
2.401
League avg home goals
1.294
League avg away goals
0.991
Portsmouth attack strength
1.042
Portsmouth defence strength
0.925
Derby attack strength
0.806
Derby defence strength
1.234
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
41 / 41