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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Mon 29 Dec 2025

19:45

Venue

Fratton Park

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Portsmouth Win

46%

Portsmouth

2.19

32%

Draw

3.15

23%

Charlton

4.42

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.4%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.4%

Draw

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.23

Portsmouth xG

Total xG

2.01

0.78

Charlton xG

46%
32%
23%
PortsmouthDrawCharlton

2.19

46%

Home win

3.15

32%

Draw

4.42

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

60%

Over 1.5

1.67

40%

Under 1.5

2.50

33%

Over 2.5

3.03

67%

Under 2.5

1.49

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.54

61%

BTTS No

1.65

Clean Sheet

46%

Portsmouth

2.19

29%

Charlton

3.41

Win to Nil

21%

Portsmouth

4.80

7%

Charlton

15.09

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.4 10.5 4.1 1.1 0.2
1 16.4 12.9 5.0 1.3 0.3
2 10.1 7.9 3.1 0.8 0.2
3 4.1 3.2 1.3 0.3 0.1
4 1.3 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.228
λ Away (xG) 0.783
Total xG 2.011
League avg home goals 1.386
League avg away goals 1.159
Portsmouth attack strength 0.870
Portsmouth defence strength 0.960
Charlton attack strength 0.704
Charlton defence strength 1.018
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 22