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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 46

Kick-off

Sat 2 May 2026

12:30

Venue

Fratton Park

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Portsmouth Win

49%

Portsmouth

2.04

32%

Draw

3.14

19%

Birmingham

5.22

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.8%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

12.6%

Draw

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.33

Portsmouth xG

Total xG

2.07

0.74

Birmingham xG

49%
32%
19%
PortsmouthDrawBirmingham

2.04

49%

Home win

3.14

32%

Draw

5.22

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

61%

Over 1.5

1.64

39%

Under 1.5

2.56

34%

Over 2.5

2.94

66%

Under 2.5

1.52

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.49

60%

BTTS No

1.67

Clean Sheet

48%

Portsmouth

2.10

27%

Birmingham

3.77

Win to Nil

23%

Portsmouth

4.28

5%

Birmingham

19.68

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.6 9.4 3.5 0.9 0.2
1 16.8 12.4 4.6 1.1 0.2
2 11.1 8.3 3.1 0.8 0.1
3 4.9 3.7 1.4 0.3 0.1
4 1.6 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.328
λ Away (xG) 0.741
Total xG 2.069
League avg home goals 1.311
League avg away goals 1.204
Portsmouth attack strength 0.900
Portsmouth defence strength 0.853
Birmingham attack strength 0.721
Birmingham defence strength 1.125
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 91 / 45