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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Plymouth Win
56%
1.78
19%
5.18
25%
4.07
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 1
8.2%
Home win
Most likely
3 – 1
6.8%
Home win
2 – 2
6.7%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.49
Plymouth xG
Total xG
4.14
1.64
Cardiff xG
PlymouthDrawCardiff
1.78
56%
Home win
5.18
19%
Draw
4.07
25%
Away win
Goals Markets
92%
Over 1.5
1.09
8%
Under 1.5
12.50
78%
Over 2.5
1.28
22%
Under 2.5
4.55
59%
Over 3.5
1.69
41%
Under 3.5
2.44
40%
Over 4.5
2.50
60%
Under 4.5
1.67
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
74%
BTTS Yes
1.35
26%
BTTS No
3.88
Clean Sheet
19%
5.17
8%
12.10
Win to Nil
11%
9.21
2%
49.24
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.6 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 4.0 | 6.5 | 5.4 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 5.0 | 8.2 | 6.7 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 4.1 | 6.8 | 5.6 | 3.1 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 4 | 2.6 | 4.2 | 3.5 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 5 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.493
λ Away (xG)
1.643
Total xG
4.136
League avg home goals
1.360
League avg away goals
1.032
Plymouth attack strength
1.251
Plymouth defence strength
1.512
Cardiff attack strength
1.053
Cardiff defence strength
1.466
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
79 / 78