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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Semi-finals

Kick-off

Mon 11 May 2026

20:00

Venue

The Den

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Millwall Win

46%

Millwall

2.20

29%

Draw

3.48

26%

Hull City

3.89

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.1%

Home win

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.52

Millwall xG

Total xG

2.61

1.09

Hull City xG

46%
29%
26%
MillwallDrawHull City

2.20

46%

Home win

3.48

29%

Draw

3.89

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.87

46%

BTTS No

2.15

Clean Sheet

34%

Millwall

2.98

22%

Hull City

4.57

Win to Nil

15%

Millwall

6.55

6%

Hull City

17.79

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3 8.0 4.4 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 11.1 12.2 6.7 2.4 0.7 0.1
2 8.5 9.3 5.1 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 4.3 4.7 2.6 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.6 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.520
λ Away (xG) 1.093
Total xG 2.613
League avg home goals 1.329
League avg away goals 1.210
Millwall attack strength 1.086
Millwall defence strength 0.873
Hull City attack strength 1.034
Hull City defence strength 1.053
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 92 / 92