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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Fri 23 Jan 2026

20:00

Venue

Pride Park

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Derby Win

45%

Derby

2.24

28%

Draw

3.51

27%

West Brom

3.73

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.4%

Home win

0 – 1

9.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.40

Derby xG

Total xG

2.42

1.02

West Brom xG

45%
28%
27%
DerbyDrawWest Brom

2.24

45%

Home win

3.51

28%

Draw

3.73

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.04

51%

BTTS No

1.96

Clean Sheet

36%

Derby

2.78

25%

West Brom

4.04

Win to Nil

16%

Derby

6.23

7%

West Brom

15.05

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.9 9.1 4.7 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 12.4 12.7 6.5 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.7 8.9 4.5 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 4.0 4.1 2.1 0.7 0.2
4 1.4 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.396
λ Away (xG) 1.024
Total xG 2.420
League avg home goals 1.334
League avg away goals 1.149
Derby attack strength 0.880
Derby defence strength 1.089
West Brom attack strength 0.818
West Brom defence strength 1.189
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 74 / 74