🎯
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Derby Win
47%
2.11
30%
3.28
22%
4.54
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
15.4%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.7%
Draw
0 – 0
11.5%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.34
Derby xG
Total xG
2.16
0.83
Stoke City xG
DerbyDrawStoke City
2.11
47%
Home win
3.28
30%
Draw
4.54
22%
Away win
Goals Markets
64%
Over 1.5
1.56
36%
Under 1.5
2.78
37%
Over 2.5
2.70
63%
Under 2.5
1.59
17%
Over 3.5
5.88
83%
Under 3.5
1.20
7%
Over 4.5
14.29
93%
Under 4.5
1.08
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
43%
BTTS Yes
2.35
57%
BTTS No
1.74
Clean Sheet
44%
2.29
26%
3.80
Win to Nil
21%
4.81
6%
17.26
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.5 | 9.5 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 15.4 | 12.7 | 5.3 | 1.4 | 0.3 | – |
| 2 | 10.3 | 8.5 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 4.6 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.336
λ Away (xG)
0.827
Total xG
2.163
League avg home goals
1.310
League avg away goals
1.206
Derby attack strength
0.999
Derby defence strength
0.956
Stoke City attack strength
0.718
Stoke City defence strength
1.020
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
86 / 86