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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Burnley Win
21%
4.81
32%
3.13
47%
2.12
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
19.4%
Away win
Most likely
0 – 0
17.3%
Draw
1 – 1
12.3%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.64
Derby xG
Total xG
1.75
1.12
Burnley xG
DerbyDrawBurnley
4.81
21%
Home win
3.13
32%
Draw
2.12
47%
Away win
Goals Markets
52%
Over 1.5
1.92
48%
Under 1.5
2.08
26%
Over 2.5
3.85
74%
Under 2.5
1.35
10%
Over 3.5
10.00
90%
Under 3.5
1.11
3%
Over 4.5
33.33
97%
Under 4.5
1.03
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
32%
BTTS Yes
3.16
68%
BTTS No
1.46
Clean Sheet
33%
3.06
53%
1.89
Win to Nil
7%
14.73
25%
4.00
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 17.3 | 19.4 | 10.8 | 4.0 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 11.0 | 12.3 | 6.9 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 3.5 | 3.9 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
| 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.635
λ Away (xG)
1.119
Total xG
1.754
League avg home goals
1.305
League avg away goals
0.996
Derby attack strength
0.860
Derby defence strength
0.949
Burnley attack strength
1.184
Burnley defence strength
0.566
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
40 / 40