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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Mon 16 Feb 2026

20:00

Venue

Coventry Building Society Arena

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Coventry Win

45%

Coventry

2.21

28%

Draw

3.54

27%

Middlesbrough

3.77

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.51

Coventry xG

Total xG

2.62

1.11

Middlesbrough xG

45%
28%
27%
CoventryDrawMiddlesbrough

2.21

45%

Home win

3.54

28%

Draw

3.77

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.87

47%

BTTS No

2.15

Clean Sheet

33%

Coventry

3.03

22%

Middlesbrough

4.53

Win to Nil

15%

Coventry

6.68

6%

Middlesbrough

17.09

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3 8.1 4.5 1.6 0.5 0.1
1 11.0 12.2 6.8 2.5 0.7 0.2
2 8.3 9.2 5.1 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 4.2 4.6 2.6 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.6 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.511
λ Away (xG) 1.107
Total xG 2.618
League avg home goals 1.295
League avg away goals 1.155
Coventry attack strength 1.160
Coventry defence strength 0.823
Middlesbrough attack strength 1.165
Middlesbrough defence strength 1.006
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 77 / 77