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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Wed 11 Feb 2026

19:45

Venue

The Valley

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Draw

27%

Charlton

3.66

38%

Draw

2.62

35%

Stoke City

2.90

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

19.5%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

17.2%

Away win

1 – 0

14.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.75

Charlton xG

Total xG

1.63

0.88

Stoke City xG

27%
38%
35%
CharltonDrawStoke City

3.66

27%

Home win

2.62

38%

Draw

2.90

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

49%

Over 1.5

2.04

51%

Under 1.5

1.96

23%

Over 2.5

4.35

77%

Under 2.5

1.30

8%

Over 3.5

12.50

92%

Under 3.5

1.09

3%

Over 4.5

33.33

97%

Under 4.5

1.03

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

33%

BTTS Yes

3.06

67%

BTTS No

1.49

Clean Sheet

41%

Charlton

2.41

47%

Stoke City

2.12

Win to Nil

11%

Charlton

8.83

16%

Stoke City

6.15

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 19.5 17.2 7.6 2.2 0.5 0.1
1 14.7 12.9 5.7 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 5.5 4.9 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 1.4 1.2 0.5 0.2
4 0.3 0.2 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.753
λ Away (xG) 0.881
Total xG 1.634
League avg home goals 1.296
League avg away goals 1.149
Charlton attack strength 0.747
Charlton defence strength 0.987
Stoke City attack strength 0.777
Stoke City defence strength 0.777
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 30 / 77