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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Burnley Win
20%
5.03
33%
2.99
47%
2.14
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
20.1%
Away win
Most likely
0 – 0
18.5%
Draw
1 – 1
12.1%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.60
Cardiff xG
Total xG
1.69
1.08
Burnley xG
CardiffDrawBurnley
5.03
20%
Home win
2.99
33%
Draw
2.14
47%
Away win
Goals Markets
50%
Over 1.5
2.00
50%
Under 1.5
2.00
24%
Over 2.5
4.17
76%
Under 2.5
1.32
9%
Over 3.5
11.11
91%
Under 3.5
1.10
3%
Over 4.5
33.33
97%
Under 4.5
1.03
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
30%
BTTS Yes
3.30
70%
BTTS No
1.44
Clean Sheet
34%
2.96
55%
1.83
Win to Nil
7%
14.87
26%
3.91
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 18.5 | 20.1 | 10.9 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 11.1 | 12.1 | 6.6 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 3.4 | 3.6 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
| 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.602
λ Away (xG)
1.085
Total xG
1.687
League avg home goals
1.351
League avg away goals
1.033
Cardiff attack strength
0.919
Cardiff defence strength
1.027
Burnley attack strength
1.023
Burnley defence strength
0.485
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
80 / 34