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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Tue 4 Feb 2025

19:45

Venue

Turf Moor

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Burnley Win

47%

Burnley

2.12

38%

Draw

2.66

15%

Oxford United

6.52

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

24.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

24.0%

Home win

2 – 0

11.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.96

Burnley xG

Total xG

1.39

0.43

Oxford United xG

47%
38%
15%
BurnleyDrawOxford United

2.12

47%

Home win

2.66

38%

Draw

6.52

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

41%

Over 1.5

2.44

59%

Under 1.5

1.69

16%

Over 2.5

6.25

84%

Under 2.5

1.19

5%

Over 3.5

20.00

95%

Under 3.5

1.05

1%

Over 4.5

100.00

99%

Under 4.5

1.01

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

22%

BTTS Yes

4.51

78%

BTTS No

1.29

Clean Sheet

65%

Burnley

1.53

38%

Oxford United

2.62

Win to Nil

31%

Burnley

3.26

6%

Oxford United

17.08

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 24.9 10.6 2.3 0.3
1 24.0 10.3 2.2 0.3
2 11.5 4.9 1.1 0.2
3 3.7 1.6 0.3
4 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.963
λ Away (xG) 0.428
Total xG 1.391
League avg home goals 1.380
League avg away goals 1.040
Burnley attack strength 0.626
Burnley defence strength 0.613
Oxford United attack strength 0.671
Oxford United defence strength 1.114
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 30 / 30