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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Burnley Win
53%
1.87
31%
3.24
16%
6.37
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
18.8%
Home win
Most likely
0 – 0
13.8%
Draw
2 – 0
12.7%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.36
Burnley xG
Total xG
1.98
0.62
Derby xG
BurnleyDrawDerby
1.87
53%
Home win
3.24
31%
Draw
6.37
16%
Away win
Goals Markets
59%
Over 1.5
1.69
41%
Under 1.5
2.44
32%
Over 2.5
3.12
68%
Under 2.5
1.47
14%
Over 3.5
7.14
86%
Under 3.5
1.16
5%
Over 4.5
20.00
95%
Under 4.5
1.05
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
36%
BTTS Yes
2.80
64%
BTTS No
1.56
Clean Sheet
54%
1.86
26%
3.88
Win to Nil
29%
3.48
4%
24.73
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.8 | 8.6 | 2.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 18.8 | 11.7 | 3.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – |
| 2 | 12.7 | 7.9 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 5.8 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 4 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.357
λ Away (xG)
0.621
Total xG
1.978
League avg home goals
1.357
League avg away goals
1.041
Burnley attack strength
0.880
Burnley defence strength
0.702
Derby attack strength
0.850
Derby defence strength
1.137
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
19 / 19