Bristol City vs Burnley – Predictions
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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Draw
32%
3.10
36%
2.81
32%
3.11
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 0
16.8%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
15.0%
Away win
1 – 0
15.0%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.89
Bristol City xG
Total xG
1.79
0.89
Burnley xG
Bristol CityDrawBurnley
3.10
32%
Home win
2.81
36%
Draw
3.11
32%
Away win
Goals Markets
53%
Over 1.5
1.89
47%
Under 1.5
2.13
27%
Over 2.5
3.70
73%
Under 2.5
1.37
11%
Over 3.5
9.09
89%
Under 3.5
1.12
4%
Over 4.5
25.00
96%
Under 4.5
1.04
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
36%
BTTS Yes
2.77
64%
BTTS No
1.57
Clean Sheet
41%
2.44
41%
2.44
Win to Nil
13%
7.58
13%
7.59
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 16.8 | 15.0 | 6.7 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 15.0 | 13.4 | 6.0 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 6.7 | 6.0 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.893
λ Away (xG)
0.893
Total xG
1.786
League avg home goals
1.327
League avg away goals
1.002
Bristol City attack strength
0.941
Bristol City defence strength
1.045
Burnley attack strength
0.853
Burnley defence strength
0.716
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
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