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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Wed 11 Mar 2026

19:45

Venue

St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Birmingham Win

50%

Birmingham

2.02

28%

Draw

3.58

23%

QPR

4.44

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

2 – 0

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.58

Birmingham xG

Total xG

2.58

1.00

QPR xG

50%
28%
23%
BirminghamDrawQPR

2.02

50%

Home win

3.58

28%

Draw

4.44

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.94

48%

BTTS No

2.06

Clean Sheet

37%

Birmingham

2.71

21%

QPR

4.85

Win to Nil

18%

Birmingham

5.48

5%

QPR

21.56

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.6 7.6 3.8 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 12.0 12.0 6.0 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.5 9.5 4.7 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 5.0 5.0 2.5 0.8 0.2
4 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.580
λ Away (xG) 0.998
Total xG 2.578
League avg home goals 1.297
League avg away goals 1.215
Birmingham attack strength 1.082
Birmingham defence strength 1.036
QPR attack strength 0.792
QPR defence strength 1.126
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 36 / 82