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Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability β€” Monday 6 March 2023

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

Seven fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 6 March 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Genoa vs Cosenza (Genoa (draw no bet)) at 89% in the Serie B. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Premier Division supplies four of the top 7, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the six fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the draw no bet market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie B Β· Italy Genoa (draw no bet) 89%
Genoa
4 : 0 FT
Cosenza
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 21%
Win 9%
Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ Genoa Clean Sheet 59%
#2 Premier Division Β· Ireland Shamrock Rovers (draw no bet) 85%
Shamrock Rovers
4 : 4 FT
Cork City
Win 67%
Draw 22%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
#3 Premier Division Β· Ireland Dundalk (draw no bet) 84%
Dundalk
2 : 1 FT
Shelbourne
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 24%
Win 12%
BTTS No 54%
#4 Premier Division Β· Ireland Sligo Rovers (draw no bet) 81%
Sligo Rovers
2 : 1 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#5 Super League 1 Β· Greece Panathinaikos (draw no bet) 78%
Panathinaikos
2 : 0 FT
Panetolikos
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 30%
Win 16%
#6 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands De Graafschap (draw no bet) 75%
De Graafschap
2 : 0 FT
Helmond Sport
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#7 Premier Division Β· Ireland Bohemians (draw no bet) 75%
Bohemians
3 : 1 FT
Drogheda United
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 29%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 55%

Showing top 7 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Draw No Bet β€” common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Monday 6 March 2023?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Genoa vs Cosenza (Genoa (draw no bet)) at 89% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.