Draw No Bet Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability — Saturday 1 October 2022
Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.
20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 1 October 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Ajax vs GO Ahead Eagles (Ajax (draw no bet)) at 93% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 77%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.
The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.
Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the draw no bet market — 87%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Ajax (draw no bet)
93%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Chiangrai United (draw no bet)
90%
Serie A · Brazil
Atletico Paranaense (draw no bet)
86%
Ligue 2 · France
Caen (draw no bet)
85%
Eliteserien · Norway
Valerenga (draw no bet)
84%
Bundesliga · Germany
RB Leipzig (draw no bet)
84%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Twente (draw no bet)
83%
Championship · England
Sheffield Utd (draw no bet)
83%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Pogon Szczecin (draw no bet)
82%
La Liga · Spain
Barcelona (draw no bet)
82%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven (draw no bet)
82%
Superettan · Sweden
Landskrona BoIS (draw no bet)
81%
La Liga · Spain
Villarreal (draw no bet)
81%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Sharjah FC (draw no bet)
80%
Primera División · Chile
Union La Calera (draw no bet)
80%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Fortuna Düsseldorf (draw no bet)
80%
Serie A · Brazil
Flamengo (draw no bet)
78%
Serie A · Brazil
Internacional (draw no bet)
78%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
Atlético Ottawa (draw no bet)
78%
Premier League · England
Liverpool (draw no bet)
77%
Showing top 20 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
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Dutch Football Predictions
Portuguese Football PredictionsDraw No Bet — common questions
What does the Draw No Bet market mean?
Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Saturday 1 October 2022?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Ajax vs GO Ahead Eagles (Ajax (draw no bet)) at 93% draw no bet probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.