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Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability β€” Saturday 8 January 2022

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

Twelve matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 8 January 2022. Al Shabab vs Abha (Al Shabab (draw no bet)) led the list at 85% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 85% down to 70%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the draw no bet market — 64%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al Shabab (draw no bet) 85%
Al Shabab
1 : 1 FT
Abha
Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 61% Al Shabab Clean Sheet 53%
#2 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal FC Porto (draw no bet) 81%
Estoril
2 : 3 FT
FC Porto
Win 15%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 65%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#3 Bundesliga Β· Germany 1899 Hoffenheim (draw no bet) 76%
1899 Hoffenheim
3 : 1 FT
FC Augsburg
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 55%
#4 La Liga Β· Spain Real Madrid (draw no bet) 74%
Real Madrid
4 : 1 FT
Valencia
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#5 League Two Β· England Tranmere (draw no bet) 73%
Tranmere
4 : 0 FT
Scunthorpe
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 32%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#6 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Gaziantep FK (draw no bet) 73%
Gaziantep FK
3 : 1 FT
Fatih Karagümrük
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#7 La Liga Β· Spain Celta Vigo (draw no bet) 73%
Real Sociedad
1 : 0 FT
Celta Vigo
Win 18%
Draw 34%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 67% Celta Vigo Clean Sheet 54%
#8 League One Β· England Oxford United (draw no bet) 72%
Lincoln
2 : 0 FT
Oxford United
Win 21%
Draw 25%
Win 54%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#9 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al-Ittihad Kalba (draw no bet) 72%
Al-Ittihad Kalba
1 : 3 FT
Baniyas SC
Win 49%
Draw 32%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 59%
#10 League One Β· England Ipswich (draw no bet) 70%
Gillingham
0 : 4 FT
Ipswich
Win 21%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 50%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#11 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Ajman (draw no bet) 70%
Ajman
0 : 1 FT
Emirates Club
Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
#12 Bundesliga Β· Germany RB Leipzig (draw no bet) 70%
RB Leipzig
4 : 1 FT
FSV Mainz 05
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Showing top 12 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Draw No Bet β€” common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Saturday 8 January 2022?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Al Shabab vs Abha (Al Shabab (draw no bet)) at 85% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.