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Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability β€” Sunday 21 November 2021

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 21 November 2021. Slavia Praha vs FK Jablonec (Slavia Praha (draw no bet)) sits top on 93% in the Czech Liga. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 74%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the draw no bet market — 69%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slavia Praha (draw no bet) 93%
Slavia Praha
5 : 0 FT
FK Jablonec
βœ“ Win 80%
Draw 14%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 59% ✓ Slavia Praha Clean Sheet 56%
#2 Premier League Β· Russia FC Sochi (draw no bet) 85%
FC Sochi
1 : 2 FT
Rubin
Win 70%
Draw 17%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#3 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Chiangrai United (draw no bet) 84%
Chiangmai United
0 : 1 FT
Chiangrai United
Win 12%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 67%
✓ BTTS No 58%
#4 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Konyaspor (draw no bet) 84%
Konyaspor
3 : 0 FT
Rizespor
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#5 Premier League Β· Russia CSKA Moscow (draw no bet) 83%
CSKA Moscow
0 : 0 FT
Khimki
Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
✓ BTTS No 57%
#6 Super League 1 Β· Greece PAOK (draw no bet) 83%
Atromitos
2 : 0 FT
PAOK
Win 13%
Draw 23%
Win 64%
Over 2.5 56%
#7 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Feyenoord (draw no bet) 81%
Feyenoord
4 : 0 FT
PEC Zwolle
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 57%
#8 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Bangkok United (draw no bet) 81%
Bangkok United
3 : 1 FT
Muangthong United
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 65% Bangkok United Clean Sheet 55%
#9 Premier League Β· Russia Dynamo (draw no bet) 80%
Dynamo
5 : 1 FT
Arsenal Tula
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#10 Eliteserien Β· Norway Sarpsborg 08 FF (draw no bet) 79%
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1 : 1 FT
ODD Ballklubb
Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#11 Eliteserien Β· Norway Valerenga (draw no bet) 79%
Valerenga
1 : 1 FT
Tromso
Win 58%
Draw 27%
Win 15%
#12 Bundesliga Β· Germany FSV Mainz 05 (draw no bet) 79%
FSV Mainz 05
1 : 1 FT
1. FC Köln
Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 15%
#13 Ligue 1 Β· France Strasbourg (draw no bet) 77%
Strasbourg
1 : 1 FT
Reims
Win 55%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#14 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Union St. Gilloise (draw no bet) 77%
Oostende
1 : 7 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 19%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 62%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#15 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Ajax (draw no bet) 76%
Waalwijk
0 : 5 FT
Ajax
Win 17%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 55%
Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#16 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands GO Ahead Eagles (draw no bet) 76%
GO Ahead Eagles
0 : 1 FT
Groningen
Win 61%
Draw 19%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 63%
#17 Serie A Β· Italy Bologna (draw no bet) 76%
Bologna
0 : 1 FT
Venezia
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
#18 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Nieciecza (draw no bet) 74%
Nieciecza
1 : 1 FT
Górnik Łęczna
Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#19 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Karlsruher SC (draw no bet) 74%
FC Ingolstadt 04
1 : 1 FT
Karlsruher SC
Win 18%
Draw 32%
Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#20 Ligue 1 Β· France Angers (draw no bet) 74%
Angers
1 : 0 FT
Lorient
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Draw No Bet β€” common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Sunday 21 November 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Slavia Praha vs FK Jablonec (Slavia Praha (draw no bet)) at 93% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.