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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 12 September 2026

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 12 September 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen (NEC Nijmegen or draw) at 93% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 82%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands NEC Nijmegen or draw 93%
Cambuur
3 : 0 FT
NEC Nijmegen
Win 7%
Draw 10%
Win 84%
✓ Over 2.5 88% BTTS Yes 69%
#2 Bundesliga Β· Austria SCR Altach or draw 92%
SCR Altach
1 : 2 FT
Grazer AK
Win 75%
Draw 17%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#3 League One Β· England Blackpool or draw 89%
Blackpool
2 : 2 FT
Bromley
Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#4 La Liga Β· Spain Real Madrid or draw 89%
Real Madrid
4 : 1 FT
Rayo Vallecano
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 14%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#5 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal FC Porto or draw 88%
Casa Pia
1 : 4 FT
FC Porto
Win 12%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 70%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%
#6 Championship Β· England Swansea or draw 88%
Swansea
3 : 1 FT
Burnley
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 29%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 56%
#7 Premier League Β· Ukraine LNZ Cherkasy or draw 88%
LNZ Cherkasy
3 : 1 FT
Obolon'-Brovar
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 31%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 64% LNZ Cherkasy Clean Sheet 57%
#8 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw 88%
Al Taawon
0 : 6 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 12%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 57%
Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Al-Hilal Saudi FC Clean Sheet 56%
#9 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Nassr or draw 87%
Al Khaleej Saihat
1 : 1 FT
Al-Nassr
Win 13%
Draw 23%
Win 64%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#10 K League 1 Β· South-Korea Jeju United FC or draw 85%
Bucheon FC 1995
2 : 2 FT
Jeju United FC
Win 15%
Draw 28%
Win 57%
#11 Bundesliga Β· Germany Borussia Dortmund or draw 85%
Borussia Dortmund
3 : 0 FT
SC Paderborn 07
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
#12 Bundesliga Β· Germany SC Freiburg or draw 85%
SC Freiburg
5 : 0 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 62%
#13 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Twente or draw 84%
Twente
2 : 0 FT
ADO Den Haag
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 54%
#14 Premier League Β· Russia Baltika or draw 84%
Fakel
2 : 2 FT
Baltika
Win 16%
Draw 34%
Win 50%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 67% Baltika Clean Sheet 55%
#15 League Two Β· England Walsall or draw 84%
Walsall
0 : 0 FT
Rochdale
Win 56%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#16 Super League 1 Β· Greece Olympiakos Piraeus or draw 83%
Olympiakos Piraeus
0 : 1 FT
OFI
Win 51%
Draw 33%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#17 Serie A Β· Brazil Gremio or draw 83%
Gremio
1 : 2 FT
Vasco DA Gama
Win 56%
Draw 27%
Win 17%
#18 Serie A Β· Brazil Palmeiras or draw 83%
Palmeiras
2 : 0 FT
Sao Paulo
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 30%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#19 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden IFK Goteborg or draw 82%
IFK Goteborg
2 : 1 FT
Halmstad
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 29%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 55%
#20 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Zaglebie Lubin or draw 82%
Zaglebie Lubin
2 : 1 FT
GKS Katowice
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 34%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 12 September 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen (NEC Nijmegen or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.