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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Tuesday 8 September 2026

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists ten fixtures on Tuesday 8 September 2026. Ilves vs FF Jaro (Ilves or draw) led the list at 90% in the Veikkausliiga. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 76%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Veikkausliiga supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland Ilves or draw 90%
Ilves
2 : 0 FT
FF Jaro
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 18%
Win 10%
✓ BTTS No 59% ✓ Ilves Clean Sheet 53%
#2 K League 1 Β· South-Korea FC Seoul or draw 84%
Ulsan Hyundai FC
1 : 0 FT
FC Seoul
Win 16%
Draw 22%
Win 62%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 69%
#3 Championship Β· England Wrexham or draw 82%
Wrexham
1 : 1 FT
Burnley
Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#4 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland Lahti or draw 81%
Lahti
2 : 1 FT
Mariehamn
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#5 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Qadisiyah FC or draw 80%
Al-Qadisiyah FC
3 : 2 FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#6 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Excelsior or draw 80%
NEC Nijmegen
2 : 2 FT
Excelsior
Win 20%
Draw 21%
Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#7 Championship Β· England Cardiff or draw 78%
Cardiff
1 : 1 FT
Stoke City
Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#8 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland Turku PS or draw 78%
Turku PS
0 : 0 FT
SJK
Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#9 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Ittihad FC or draw 77%
Al-Ittihad FC
2 : 1 FT
Al-Fayha
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#10 Championship Β· England Watford or draw 76%
Watford
2 : 1 FT
Preston
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 33%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 55%

Showing top 10 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Tuesday 8 September 2026?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Ilves vs FF Jaro (Ilves or draw) at 90% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.