Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 19 April 2026
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 19 April 2026. The strongest reading belongs to FC Porto vs Tondela (FC Porto or draw) at 93% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 79%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.
Serie A supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Primeira Liga · Portugal
FC Porto or draw
93%
Serie A · Brazil
Palmeiras or draw
89%
Primera División · Chile
Colo Colo or draw
87%
Serie A · Brazil
RB Bragantino or draw
87%
Premier League · Russia
FC Krasnodar or draw
85%
Serie A · Italy
AC Milan or draw
85%
Serie B · Italy
Empoli or draw
85%
Serie A · Brazil
Flamengo or draw
84%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Port FC or draw
84%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
FC Schalke 04 or draw
84%
Ligue 1 · France
Paris Saint Germain or draw
83%
Premier League · England
Aston Villa or draw
81%
Serie B · Italy
Carrarese or draw
81%
Super League 1 · Greece
AEK Athens FC or draw
81%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Ulsan Hyundai FC or draw
81%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Cercle Brugge or draw
81%
Bundesliga · Germany
SC Freiburg or draw
80%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
SC Braga or draw
80%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hertha BSC or draw
79%
Ligue 1 · France
Monaco or draw
79%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 19 April 2026?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Porto vs Tondela (FC Porto or draw) at 93% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.