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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Monday 29 December 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 17 fixtures on Monday 29 December 2025. FC Porto vs AVS (FC Porto or draw) sits top on 95% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 95% down to 76%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

League One supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the double chance market — 65%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal FC Porto or draw 95%
FC Porto
2 : 0 FT
AVS
βœ“ Win 83%
Draw 12%
Win 5%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58% ✓ FC Porto Clean Sheet 56%
#2 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al Taawon or draw 90%
Al Taawon
1 : 0 FT
Al Najma
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 18%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 57%
#3 League One Β· England Bradford or draw 85%
Bradford
1 : 0 FT
Port Vale
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
✓ BTTS No 56%
#4 Championship Β· England Blackburn or draw 84%
Sheffield Wednesday
0 : 0 FT
Blackburn
Win 16%
Draw 27%
Win 57%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#5 League One Β· England Huddersfield or draw 84%
Huddersfield
2 : 0 FT
Northampton
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 59%
#6 Championship Β· England Coventry or draw 82%
Coventry
0 : 2 FT
Ipswich
Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
#7 League One Β· England Bolton or draw 81%
Bolton
0 : 1 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
#8 Championship Β· England Stoke City or draw 81%
Stoke City
1 : 2 FT
Sheffield Utd
Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#9 League Two Β· England Chesterfield or draw 81%
Chesterfield
0 : 1 FT
Cambridge United
Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#10 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al Khaleej Saihat or draw 80%
Al Khaleej Saihat
0 : 1 FT
Al-Fateh
Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 69%
#11 Championship Β· England Birmingham or draw 79%
Birmingham
1 : 1 FT
Southampton
Win 60%
Draw 20%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#12 League Two Β· England Grimsby or draw 79%
Grimsby
1 : 0 FT
Shrewsbury
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
#13 League Two Β· England Crewe or draw 79%
Newport County
2 : 0 FT
Crewe
Win 21%
Draw 25%
Win 54%
#14 League Two Β· England Barnet or draw 78%
Bristol Rovers
0 : 2 FT
Barnet
Win 22%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#15 Championship Β· England Portsmouth or draw 77%
Portsmouth
2 : 1 FT
Charlton
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 61%
#16 League Two Β· England Accrington ST or draw 77%
Accrington ST
1 : 0 FT
Harrogate Town
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#17 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al-Jazira or draw 76%
Al-Ittihad Kalba
1 : 1 FT
Al-Jazira
Win 24%
Draw 27%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 54%

Showing top 17 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Monday 29 December 2025?

17 fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Porto vs AVS (FC Porto or draw) at 95% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.