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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 26 December 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists twelve fixtures on Friday 26 December 2025. Sheffield Wednesday vs Hull City (Hull City or draw) sits top on 89% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 75%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

League One supplies five of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the double chance market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship Β· England Hull City or draw 89%
Sheffield Wednesday
2 : 2 FT
Hull City
Win 11%
Draw 17%
Win 72%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#2 Championship Β· England Coventry or draw 88%
Coventry
1 : 0 FT
Swansea
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 60%
#3 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Anderlecht or draw 85%
Anderlecht
1 : 2 FT
Charleroi
Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 58%
#4 League One Β· England Bolton or draw 84%
Bolton
2 : 1 FT
Rotherham
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 64% Bolton Clean Sheet 54%
#5 League Two Β· England Bromley or draw 83%
Bristol Rovers
2 : 3 FT
Bromley
Win 17%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 56%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 59%
#6 League One Β· England Barnsley or draw 80%
Barnsley
2 : 3 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#7 League One Β· England Cardiff or draw 78%
Cardiff
1 : 0 FT
Exeter City
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 56%
#8 League One Β· England Reading or draw 77%
Plymouth
1 : 4 FT
Reading
Win 23%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 50%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 56%
#9 League Two Β· England Cheltenham or draw 77%
Cheltenham
3 : 1 FT
Shrewsbury
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 55%
#10 League One Β· England Huddersfield or draw 77%
Huddersfield
5 : 0 FT
Port Vale
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
#11 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Ahli Jeddah or draw 76%
Al-Fateh
2 : 1 FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Win 24%
Draw 30%
Win 46%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#12 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Union St. Gilloise or draw 75%
Cercle Brugge
1 : 1 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 25%
Draw 23%
Win 52%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 12 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 26 December 2025?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Sheffield Wednesday vs Hull City (Hull City or draw) at 89% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.