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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 27 July 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 27 July 2025. Bahia vs Juventude (Bahia or draw) led the list at 91% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the double chance market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Brazil Bahia or draw 91%
Bahia
3 : 0 FT
Juventude
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 16%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#2 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden AIK Stockholm or draw 91%
AIK Stockholm
0 : 0 FT
Osters IF
Win 72%
Draw 19%
Win 9%
✓ BTTS No 62% ✓ AIK Stockholm Clean Sheet 57%
#3 Serie A Β· Brazil Cruzeiro or draw 88%
Cruzeiro
1 : 2 FT
Ceara
Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 61% Cruzeiro Clean Sheet 54%
#4 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Mjallby AIF or draw 85%
Mjallby AIF
2 : 1 FT
Sirius
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#5 Super League Β· China Shanghai Shenhua or draw 81%
Shanghai Shenhua
3 : 2 FT
Henan Jianye
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#6 Superettan Β· Sweden Orgryte IS or draw 81%
Orgryte IS
6 : 0 FT
Ostersunds FK
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#7 Premier League Β· Russia CSKA Moscow or draw 81%
CSKA Moscow
2 : 1 FT
Akhmat
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 55%
#8 Super League Β· China Shandong Luneng or draw 80%
Shandong Luneng
3 : 0 FT
Meizhou Kejia
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 54%
#9 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Raków Częstochowa or draw 80%
Raków Częstochowa
1 : 2 FT
Wisla Plock
Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#10 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland Inter Turku or draw 80%
Inter Turku
4 : 1 FT
SJK
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#11 Primera División Β· Chile Palestino or draw 78%
Palestino
1 : 0 FT
Union Espanola
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
#12 Super League Β· China Hangzhou Greentown or draw 78%
Hangzhou Greentown
3 : 2 FT
Wuhan Three Towns
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#13 Serie A Β· Brazil Internacional or draw 78%
Internacional
1 : 1 FT
Vasco DA Gama
Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 56%
#14 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Lugano or draw 77%
FC Lugano
1 : 2 FT
FC Thun
Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#15 Serie A Β· Brazil Palmeiras or draw 77%
Palmeiras
1 : 0 FT
Gremio
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
#16 Primera División Β· Chile O'Higgins or draw 76%
O'Higgins
1 : 1 FT
Colo Colo
Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 56%
#17 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Anderlecht or draw 76%
Anderlecht
5 : 2 FT
KVC Westerlo
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 33%
Win 24%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#18 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden BK Hacken or draw 76%
BK Hacken
1 : 6 FT
Djurgardens IF
Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#19 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium OH Leuven or draw 76%
OH Leuven
2 : 2 FT
Charleroi
Win 42%
Draw 34%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#20 Super League Β· China Changchun Yatai or draw 75%
Changchun Yatai
0 : 2 FT
Dalian Zhixing
Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 27 July 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bahia vs Juventude (Bahia or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.