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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 26 July 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

17 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 26 July 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Yunnan Yukun vs Sichuan Jiuniu (Yunnan Yukun or draw) at 86% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 86% down to 75%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the double chance market — 88%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· China Yunnan Yukun or draw 86%
Yunnan Yukun
3 : 1 FT
Sichuan Jiuniu
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#2 Premier League Β· Russia Spartak Moscow or draw 85%
Spartak Moscow
0 : 3 FT
Baltika
Win 55%
Draw 30%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 55%
#3 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Gais or draw 85%
Gais
3 : 0 FT
Halmstad
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#4 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden IFK Norrkoping or draw 85%
Degerfors IF
0 : 0 FT
IFK Norrkoping
Win 15%
Draw 20%
Win 65%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 54%
#5 Serie A Β· Brazil Botafogo or draw 84%
Botafogo
1 : 1 FT
Corinthians
Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 60%
#6 Eliteserien Β· Norway Bodo/Glimt or draw 82%
Bodo/Glimt
7 : 2 FT
Valerenga
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
#7 K League 1 Β· South-Korea Jeonbuk Motors or draw 82%
Gwangju FC
1 : 2 FT
Jeonbuk Motors
Win 18%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 56%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%
#8 Superettan Β· Sweden IK brage or draw 82%
IK brage
2 : 2 FT
Umeå FC
Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#9 Premier League Β· Russia Dynamo or draw 80%
Dynamo
1 : 0 FT
FC Rostov
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
BTTS Yes 55%
#10 Super League Β· China SHANGHAI SIPG or draw 80%
SHANGHAI SIPG
2 : 2 FT
Qingdao Youth Island
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
#11 Premier League Β· Russia FC Krasnodar or draw 79%
FC Krasnodar
1 : 2 FT
Lokomotiv
Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#12 Eliteserien Β· Norway Sandefjord or draw 79%
Sandefjord
3 : 2 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 54%
#13 Serie A Β· Brazil Mirassol or draw 78%
Mirassol
1 : 1 FT
Vitoria
Win 49%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 63%
#14 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Pogon Szczecin or draw 78%
Pogon Szczecin
4 : 1 FT
Motor Lublin
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#15 Eliteserien Β· Norway Ham-Kam or draw 78%
Haugesund
0 : 3 FT
Ham-Kam
Win 22%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 49%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#16 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Malmo FF or draw 77%
IF Brommapojkarna
2 : 3 FT
Malmo FF
Win 23%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 49%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 58%
#17 K League 1 Β· South-Korea Suwon City FC or draw 75%
Suwon City FC
2 : 1 FT
FC Anyang
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%

Showing top 17 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 26 July 2025?

17 fixtures met the criteria, led by Yunnan Yukun vs Sichuan Jiuniu (Yunnan Yukun or draw) at 86% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.