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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Wednesday 21 May 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists six fixtures on Wednesday 21 May 2025. Orgryte IS vs Sandviken (Orgryte IS or draw) sits top on 87% in the Superettan. The shortlist runs from 87% down to 75%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Superettan supplies three of the top 6, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the six fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the double chance market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Superettan Β· Sweden Orgryte IS or draw 87%
Orgryte IS
4 : 0 FT
Sandviken
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 17%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 59%
#2 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw 78%
Al Wehda Club
1 : 1 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 22%
Draw 18%
Win 61%
Over 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
#3 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Dordrecht or draw 78%
Dordrecht
2 : 1 FT
Willem II
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 54%
#4 Superettan Β· Sweden Utsikten or draw 76%
Utsikten
4 : 4 FT
Orebro SK
Win 54%
Draw 22%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#5 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Nassr or draw 76%
Al-Nassr
2 : 0 FT
Al Khaleej Saihat
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 21%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 64%
#6 Superettan Β· Sweden Falkenbergs FF or draw 75%
Falkenbergs FF
4 : 0 FT
Trelleborg
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 60%

Showing top 6 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Wednesday 21 May 2025?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by Orgryte IS vs Sandviken (Orgryte IS or draw) at 87% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.