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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Thursday 24 April 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Five fixtures cleared the bar on Thursday 24 April 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Real Betis vs Valladolid (Real Betis or draw) at 89% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Allsvenskan supplies three of the top 5, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the five fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga Β· Spain Real Betis or draw 89%
Real Betis
5 : 1 FT
Valladolid
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 14%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands AZ Alkmaar or draw 84%
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 1 FT
NAC Breda
Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
#3 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden AIK Stockholm or draw 78%
IFK Varnamo
1 : 2 FT
AIK Stockholm
Win 22%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 49%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 62%
#4 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden IFK Norrkoping or draw 77%
IFK Norrkoping
2 : 3 FT
IFK Goteborg
Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#5 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Djurgardens IF or draw 75%
Djurgardens IF
1 : 0 FT
Osters IF
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 54%

Showing top 5 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Thursday 24 April 2025?

five fixtures met the criteria, led by Real Betis vs Valladolid (Real Betis or draw) at 89% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.